Newsletter [April 19 - April 25]

Good Morning

A note from our CEO, Richard Roman Jr

This week marks a shift from planning to execution across both customs and logistics.

The IEEPA refund process officially opened this past Monday through CAPE in ACE, giving importers a clear path to begin recovering duties. At the same time, we are seeing early signs of capacity and equipment pressure building, alongside rising costs across multiple transportation modes.

Individually, these are manageable developments. Together, they signal a market that requires more proactive coordination, earlier planning, and tighter execution.


The Roundup

What moved the world this week

Customs & Trade Policy Update

CAPE Refund Process Now Live

U.S. Customs and Border Protection has officially launched Phase 1 of the CAPE refund process for IEEPA tariffs within the ACE Portal.

Importers and authorized brokers can now begin submitting refund declarations.

Key Details:

  • Refunds submitted via CAPE Declaration in ACE

  • CBP will remove IEEPA HTS, recalculate duties, and reliquidate entries

  • Refunds issued per importer account, not per entry

Timeline & Scope:

  • Estimated processing time: 60–90 days

  • Refunds will include interest paid by the government at time of processing

Phase 1 includes:

  • Unliquidated entries

  • Entries liquidated within approximately 80 days

Additional phases covering older or more complex entries are expected, with timing still pending CBP confirmation.

Requirements:

  • Active ACE Portal account

  • ACH refund authorization with U.S. bank account

  • Updated importer information (Form 5106)

  • Refunds are electronic only — paper checks are no longer issued.

Supply Chain & Logistics News

Supply Chain & Logistics Update

Early Capacity & Equipment Constraints Emerging

We are continuing to see early-stage constraints in equipment and carrier allocation, particularly involving 20GP containers.

This week, we encountered a case where a shipment into New York faced tighter carrier allocation, with limited TEU space being made available for booking.

This is not a widespread shortage, but it reflects a broader shift:

  • Carriers are managing space more tightly

  • Equipment is becoming less evenly distributed across regions

  • Booking timing is becoming more critical

These conditions are being influenced in part by ongoing Middle East disruptions, which continue to impact vessel routing and container circulation.

Operational Trends

Carriers are continuing to adjust network behavior:

  • Additional port calls for consolidation

  • Slow steaming to manage fuel consumption

  • More controlled space allocation across trade lanes

The result is:

  • Longer and less predictable transit times

  • Increased importance of early booking

  • Reduced flexibility for last-minute shipments

Additional Market Developments

Cost Pressure Expanding Across the Supply Chain

This week also highlighted broader cost and capacity pressures beyond ocean freight:

  • Potential jet fuel shortages in Asia are raising concerns around air freight capacity and pricing

  • Fuel-related surcharges are expanding across ocean, air, and parcel networks

  • U.S. trucking costs are projected to rise significantly, driven by tightening capacity and higher operating costs

These developments indicate that cost pressure is no longer isolated — it is building across all modes of transportation.


The Forecast

Trends, goals, and what’s on the radar at JR Global

We are entering a phase defined by two parallel dynamics:

1. Refund Execution (Customs)

  • CAPE submissions are now active

  • Processing timelines and claim quality will drive outcomes

2. Gradual Market Tightening (Logistics)

  • Early signs of equipment constraints, particularly 20GP

  • Increasing carrier discipline on space allocation

  • Rising cost pressure across multiple modes

While the market remains stable today, these signals suggest incremental tightening as we move further into Q2.


The Shortcut

Smart tips for smart shippers

CAPE refund process launched this week

  • Refunds processed in 60–90 days with interest

  • Phase 1 includes unliquidated + recent (≤80 days) entries

  • Phase 2 pending CBP confirmation

  • Early signs of 20GP equipment constraints

  • Carriers tightening space and allocation controls

  • Fuel and cost pressure rising across all transport modes

  • Booking earlier is becoming increasingly important


The Playlist

What the JR team is listening to this week in the office


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Newsletter [April 12 - April 18]