Newsletter [June 7 - June 13]
Good Morning
A note from our CEO, Richard Roman Jr
The market continues to shift quickly as we move deeper into June.
Ocean freight conditions have tightened significantly, with carriers successfully implementing multiple rounds of General Rate Increases (GRIs). While the upcoming mid-June increases are expected to settle below some initial announcements, the bigger story is that increases are continuing to hold in the market.
More importantly, the challenge has shifted beyond pricing. Even for importers prepared to move at current market levels, securing vessel space — especially out of Asia — has become increasingly difficult.
At the same time, CBP has announced one of the largest shifts in importer compliance requirements in years, signaling a stronger focus on accountability, financial responsibility, and supply chain transparency.
The Roundup
What moved the world this week
Customs & Trade Policy Update
CBP Announces Major Importer Compliance Changes
On June 3, President Trump signed the Strengthening Customs Enforcement Executive Order, directing CBP to implement stricter requirements for importers, customs brokers, and supply chain participants.
The goal is to strengthen enforcement around:
Importer accountability
Duty collection
Forced labor prevention
Undervaluation and misclassification
Illegal transshipment
Upcoming changes include:
Increased importer vetting requirements
Higher bond and financial responsibility standards
Additional ownership and business disclosures
Creation of importer “good standing” requirements
Increased supply chain documentation requirements
Foreign Importers of Record (IORs) are expected to face additional scrutiny, including restrictions around certain entry processes and increased validation requirements.
Implementation Timeline
These changes will roll out in phases:
90 days: certain enforcement and documentation updates
180 days: major importer registration, bond, good-standing, and vetting changes
For importers, this reinforces the importance of having strong compliance processes and working with partners who understand CBP requirements.
IEEPA Refund Update: Payments Continue, Questions Remain
CAPE refund processing continues moving forward, with importers beginning to receive refund payments from CBP.
Current observations:
Refunds are being issued as entries are processed rather than one large consolidated payment
Payments include applicable government interest
Phase 1 CAPE refunds continue moving through ACE
However, litigation remains ongoing around the treatment of certain entries outside Phase 1, particularly older liquidated entries.
Importers should continue monitoring refund eligibility, liquidation status, and potential protest deadlines.
Supply Chain & Logistics News
Freight Rates Continue Climbing as Space Tightens
The ocean freight market has entered an early peak-season environment.
Carriers have successfully implemented multiple rounds of GRIs, and another round is scheduled for mid-June. Although some increases are expected to settle below original announcements, the fact that increases continue holding shows stronger carrier pricing power.
Several factors are driving the current market:
Earlier peak-season shipping activity
Tariff uncertainty pulling shipments forward
Blank sailings and capacity management
Vessel schedule disruptions
Equipment imbalance
Space Availability Becomes the Main Challenge
At this stage, the concern is not only freight cost — it is securing space.
Even when importers approve current market rates, carriers are becoming more selective with allocation.
We are seeing:
Longer booking lead times
Fully committed sailings
Increased rollover risk
Reduced flexibility for last-minute shipments
This is especially noticeable out of Asia, where demand and capacity management have tightened available options.
Early forecasting and communication are becoming critical.
The Forecast
Trends, goals, and what’s on the radar at JR Global
The next several weeks will determine whether this market strength continues.
JR Global is monitoring:
How much of the June 15 GRI remains in effect
Carrier allocation and blank sailing strategies
Asia origin space availability
CBP implementation guidance on importer requirements
CAPE refund processing developments
If demand remains strong, carriers may continue maintaining elevated pricing and tighter allocation through the summer.
The Shortcut
Smart tips for smart shippers
Freight rates continue increasing after successful GRIs
June 15 increases are expected to settle lower than initial announcements but still remain impactful
Space availability is becoming a bigger challenge than pricing
Asia bookings require significantly more lead time
CBP announced major importer compliance changes
Major IOR requirements expected over the next 180 days
CAPE refunds continue processing with interest
Refund litigation remains ongoing for certain entries
The Playlist
What the JR team is listening to this week in the office
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